United States Vice President Kamala HarrisDemocratic candidate for the White House, maintains a two-point lead over the former president of the United States Donald Trump, Republican candidate, has been in the middle of the polls for several days published this Wednesday that reflect the general sentiment of voters in the United States. 47 days before the November 5 electionsHarris would receive 49.3% of the electorate’s favor, while the Republican candidate would remain at 47.3% at the national level, according to the general average of the surveys.
After the presidential debate last week, September 10, only the vice-presidential debate on October 1 is marked in red in the campaign. Still, the race in the main swing states is very close, with no clear leader emerging. Trump leads in Arizona (11 electoral votes), Georgia (16 electoral votes) and North Carolina (16). Harris slightly leads Trump in Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes), Wisconsin (10 electoral votes), Michigan (15) and Nevada (6).
In Pennsylvaniahe crucial undecided statean InsiderAdvantage survey conducted on September 14 and 15, gives Trump a two-point lead. However, another USA Today/Suffolk poll, conducted between September 11 and 14, gives Harris a three-point lead.
In the swing states of the souththe race is just as close. In Georgia, a Trafalgar Group poll conducted between September 11 and 13 reveals that Trump wins by one point. In North Carolina, Trump leads Harris by two in this poll. In others, the advantage is three points.
In Arizona, according to Trafalgar, Trump has a one-point lead, while in Nevada, Harris wins by one point. The averages reflect the following: Trump wins by 1.3 points in Arizona and Harris by 1.2 points in Nevada.
As the winner takes all (the winner takes all the electoral votes in each state), the presidential map projects a Trump victory by 281-257 points. However, this map depends on Trump wins in states like North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Georgiawhere its advantage is less than 0.5 points.
Democrats will lose the Senate
On November 5, there are elections in a third of the Senate and the entire House of Representatives is renewed. In the Upper House elections, polls indicate that it may change hands. According to the average of the polls, in the battle for the Upper House of these elections, of the 33 seats that are at stake, There are six very disputed ones that could go for either of the two games. Meanwhile, Republicans could win two seats (Montana and West Virginia). Therefore, Republicans could keep 52 of the 100 seats in the Senate after the elections. Meanwhile, the Democrats would be left with 48. In these elections, 33 seats of the 100 that the Senate has are at stake. The Republicans have secured 38 seats, which do not go to the elections this year. The Democrats 24. The Republicans will add eight for sure, according to the polls and they can add six more.
States that Harris has secured
Colorado (10 electoral votes).
Illinois (19).
New Jersey (14).
Oregon (8).
Maine District 1 (1).
Maine (2).
Minnesota (10).
New Mexico (5).
Virginia (13).
States that Trump has secured
Florida (30 electoral votes).
Ohio (17).
Texas (40).
Maine District 2 (1).
Alaska (3).
Iowa (6).
Kansas (6).
Missouri (10).
Mountain (4).
South Carolina (9).
undecided states
Arizona (11). Trump is ahead in the polls.
Georgia (16). Trump is ahead in the polls.
Michigan (15). Kamala Harris has a minimal sale in opinion polls.
Snowfall (6). Kamala Harris is ahead, although it is not clear that Trump will lose this state.
North Carolina (16). Trump leads Harris in this state.
Pennsylvania (19). The state of Pennsylvania is the most populated of the undecided. He has 19 Electoral College votes. It is the most important state in this presidential race. They are very close in the polls.
Wisconsin (10). Kamala Harris is ahead in the polls.
Some pollsters add to the seven previously mentioned New Hampshire (4) and Nebraska District 2 (1) to the list of undecided.
